The Importance of a 13-Week Cash Flow Forecast
It is no secret that the recent pandemic has wreaked havoc on the global economy, pressuring businesses across all industries to take severe measures to “weather the storm” to ensure their survival. As businesses, both large and small, are forced to rapidly address their liquidity positions, we increasingly hear about actions aimed at preserving cash that has included asset sales, drawdowns of revolving lines of credit, site closures, employee layoffs, vendor negotiations, employee compensation adjustments, and furloughs. Given that cash is the “lifeblood” of any business, measures such as these are often necessary. However, through times of business expansion and contraction, we have witnessed organizations expending substantial time and resources developing tactics around either/or cash generation and cash preservation. As a result, we strongly recommend to our clients that they invest the time and resources towards developing a basic but often overlooked management tool: a 13-week cash flow forecast model (the “cash flow forecast”). In this summary, we will talk about the key components of a cash flow forecast as well as a few of its key benefits, namely in empowering organizations to make thoughtful, informed decisions that are data-driven in nature. The Forecast and Key Components The cash flow forecast is a real-time model that breaks down the cash inflows and outflows of a business into discrete parts, and it provides the most accurate depiction of a business’s financial health (or lack thereof) as well as valuable insight into the drivers of that health. It is important to note that the development of this model should incorporate the involvement of senior leadership that provides input into the underlying assumptions and is willing to provide potential ownership regarding the development and reporting of specific categories and/or line items. These owners need to change their mindset to one of “cash in and cash out” rather than “what hits the P/L” (example: sales mean nothing if they can’t be converted to cash). While the high-level components of a cash flow forecast are shown below, each of the key component buckets should be segmented into specific line item components labeled with sufficient detail in order to create period by period comparisons (for example, “Leases” may be a line item within Cash Disbursements). Key component buckets include: Beginning Cash Balance: Recommend calculating on a Book Cash basis and will require a Bank to Book cash reconciliation. Cash Receipts: Typically consists of both the collection (both amount and timing) of existing A/R as well as future sales and their associated collection (both amount and timing); segmentation by a key customer with appropriate DSO assumptions. Include miscellaneous sources of cash as well. Cash Disbursements: Break out into operating cash, investing cash, and financing cash disbursements (subtotals). Operating cash disbursements can be thought of as normal course payments for items such as payroll, supplies, rent, etc. Investing cash disbursements can consist of several different things, but the main line items we typically see needing attribution are capital expenditures. Financing disbursements relate to debt, equity, dividends. The most common relates to interest expense or principal payments on loans. The beginning cash balance adding forecasted weekly cash receipts less forecasted weekly cash disbursements can provide a real-time view of the organization’s liquidity. The analysis should then be rolled forward each week. While opinions differ on the appropriate time period, 13 weeks is generally considered a reasonable midpoint period; short enough to provide real-time visibility and accuracy (one calendar quarter) but long enough to give the business insights that can be strategic in nature. The Benefits of Visibility in Decision-Making We subscribe to the theory that enhanced visibility into the go-forward liquidity position of an organization can be empowering and can result in thoughtful, informed, and data-driven decisions. Among the numerous benefits of a cash flow forecast are the following: Allow the business to identify and enhance cash systems and controls – numerous issues can be identified and addressed such as how cash disbursements are administered (process), how the business can understand the amount and timing of financing requirements, how sales are forecast with associated cash receipts and when the business may hit roadblocks that don’t allow it to fund key operating costs such as payroll. These are just a few of the benefits. Allows the business to address its sales and collection process – perhaps certain key customers (or profiles) don’t pay as timely as others, the business may not be invoicing correctly or in a timely manner, appropriate mechanisms, systems may not be set up to accurately record sales, discounts and importantly capture cash receipts. We have found on numerous occasions that businesses don’t actively monitor and aggressively follow-up on delinquent A/R or offer incentives (assuming make economic sense) to accelerate collections. Sales don’t mean anything if they cannot be collected. Allows the business to identify non-core assets and create asset disposition plans – in these circumstances, businesses are forced to address assets that are non-core in nature to key business operations. These may be real estate, inventory, certain business lines that may be unprofitable, etc. If assets are non-core to operations and they can be monetized, they should be, or at least there should be some consideration of this possibility. Not only does this allow a business to generate cash, but it also removes management distraction and time from administering these assets. Allows the business to address its vendors in a critical manner – with a cash flow forecast, the theoretical becomes actual, and a light can be shone on vendors regardless of the type that is bleeding cash from the business but may not be generating significant ROI. With a forecast, the amount, timing, magnitude of these disbursements can be readily understood, and this can lead to better processes on the front end in terms of identifying and approving vendors and vendor relationships. We have found on numerous occasions that businesses, regardless of whether they are in expansion or contraction mode, have seen the benefits of a cash flow forecast to be significant as it
The Rise of the Remote Workforce: Benefits, Behaviors and Best Practices
Once the domain of traveling sales and service people, this space is rapidly changing. In the last (5) years alone, remote work, or allowing professionals to work from home or outside the traditional office, has increased by 44% and shows no signs of slowing, especially in light of recent events. Currently, the number of remote workers is rising out of necessity, whether it be temporary or permanent decisions by companies to support a virtual workforce. With technology allowing us to take our lives with us anywhere we go, more people are requesting flexible working spaces. There are many reasons why remote working is increasing in popularity with both business leaders and their pool of labor. Not every company wants to allow employees to work from home. However, there are benefits of having a remote workforce. Not every person should work from home, thus, we will review the personal behaviors that best apply to this style of work and best practices for being a remote workforce manager and an efficient employee. The Benefits There are (4) key benefits to having a remote workforce: talent pool, cost reduction, happier work life, and health. Your talent pool becomes limitless. Hiring the right person comes with many challenges. The company needs to find a person with the right background, customer knowledge, behaviors, and nearby. By limiting the talent pool to around a 25-mile radius (about a 45-minute commute) a company is missing out on top talent. With remote workers, the world now becomes your talent pool. It saves the company and employees money. According to a ConnectSolutions survey, the average remote worker saves a company approximately $4,600 per year. Fuel, car maintenance, commuting time, parking, childcare, lunches are top employee considerations, and this is a good chunk of change most people would like to keep in their wallets. Having remote workers also reduces the amount of money the company has to spend on computers, phones, utilities, office supplies, and on real estate and office leases. A happier work-life balance leads to employee retention. According to Global Workplace Analytics, 72% of employers say remote work has a high impact on employee retention, and 90% of employees feel flexible work arrangements increase employee morale. It is no wonder then that 45% of remote workers have been in the same position for (5) years or more. Remote Workers are healthy. Even before many schools, companies, and even whole countries were put on lockdown in an attempt to stop the spread of COVID-19, research showed that remote workers on average take fewer sick days and can stay productive longer. It has become a lifestyle, with many companies such as Google, Microsoft, and Amazon encouraging work from home– as well as many others who are less tech-centered. Plus, in this new age of social distancing, it is much less likely that an employee will come in contact with any germs around the office. The Behaviors While remote work provides many benefits, both to the company and the employee, it doesn’t mean everyone in your company is ready for this lifestyle. On the contrary, this new work arrangement takes a person with a particular set of skills and behaviors. As we conduct candidate interviews for remote positions, we assess the following behaviors that make for a successful and productive remote worker. These are: Strong Connector and Communicator Enjoys sharing expertise and ideas proactively with other professionals. Prefers and enjoys team projects. Proactively taps into all available knowledge and support resources. A Go-Getter Confident and self-assured. Seeks independence and enjoys due recognition. Driven to high levels of accomplishment. Passionate High stamina and endurance— one who doesn’t count hours on the job. Maintains focus during work activities. Active hobbies and involvement. Integrity Honesty and integrity are hallmarks of how they conduct themselves in all they do. Refuses to cut corners or over-promise. Represents their company judiciously. Astute Skilled in self-appraisal. Quickly sorts the critical from the superfluous in prioritizing – street smart! Acts appropriately— is tactful and knows what NOT to say. The Best Practices As with any mode of work, there are managerial and work practices that lead to success. We have identified six key best practices for remote work: Communicate early and often. Because an employee is not working in the office, communication is one of the essential tools they can use. In a traditional office setting, it is easy to talk to an associate in person if questions or concerns arise. Efficient telecommunicators understand the importance of this trait and use it to work effectively with the rest of the team. Be proactive in your communication with your coworkers and clients. Managers also need to communicate effectively with daily calls or video chats. Daily routine and consistency are a big part of working from home. When working in a traditional office setting, this routine could consist of waking up around the same time each day, taking a shower, making coffee, and commuting to the office. A person who is taken out of the office should still try to do these same things each morning and to keep their regular office hours. This will set the tone for the day. Instead of feeling like you are just staying home, it will make it feel like you are getting ready for work. Managers should also set up routines and consistent check-ins (phone or video) with their remote teams. Set schedule and prioritize. Remote work provides more flexibility but has the potential for a lot less structure. Set a plan of action to make sure that time is productive. When working from home, utilize company calendars to stay updated on office events and meetings. Keep to your regular work schedule hours and agenda while holding yourself accountable to these, as your manager would. Create a separate workspace free from distraction. It is almost impossible to produce high-quality while household distractions abound. TV, walking the dog, and the laundry can wait until after work. Create a separate office area or room, similar to if you were working in an